Sunday, November 20, 2022

Fake news

 

 

Kellyanne Conway coined the phrase, “alternative facts” in the early days of the Trump administration, and the incoming president started to call everything that he did not agree with “fake news”, echoing the thoughts of the book “1984”.

The section on Double Think says this:

The keyword here is blackwhite. Like so many Newspeak words, this word has two mutually contradictory meanings. Applied to an opponent, it means the habit of impudently claiming that black is white, in contradiction of the plain facts. Applied to a Party member, it means a loyal willingness to say that black is white when Party discipline demands this. But it means also the ability to believe that black is white, and more, to know that black is white, and to forget that one has ever believed the contrary. This demands a continuous alteration of the past, made possible by the system of thought which really embraces all the rest, and which is known in Newspeak as doublethink. Doublethink is basically the power of holding two contradictory beliefs in one's mind simultaneously, and accepting both of them.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nineteen_Eighty-Four

The man idea in “1984” is that there is no such think as freedom of speech, but freedom of speech is not always a clear-cut idea.

Although it’s obvious that you can’t shout “fire” in a crowded movie theatre, it becomes very murky when it comes to social media and political campaigns.

The presence of Russian bods during the 2016 and 2020 elections exemplifies why social media sites have an obligation to monitor the content of their sites for mis-leading information – but all that went out the window last week, when Elon Mush eliminated 20 of the 30 people on Twitter’s media review team.

 

https://www.wired.com/story/twitters-moderation-system-is-in-tatters/

 

EVEN BEFORE TWITTER cut some 4,400 contract workers on November 12, the platform was showing signs of strain. After Elon Musk bought the company and laid off 7,500 full time employees, disinformation researchers and activists say, the team that took down toxic and fake content vanished. Now, after years of developing relationships within those teams, researchers say no one is responding to their reports of disinformation on the site, even as data suggests Twitter is becoming more toxic.

Yesterday, Musk removed the ban on Trump’s presence on the site. Although Trump is contractually obligated to first broadcast on Truth Social, it won’t be long before he starts posting again on Twitter.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/11/19/trump-musk-twitter/

When he was if office, the Washington Post documented 30,573 lies during his four years in office.

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/01/24/trumps-false-or-misleading-claims-total-30573-over-four-years/

Trump’s presence on Twitter is dangerous because it diminishes the integrity of our political system, and it also greatly exacerbated the riots on January 6 – which led Twitter to ban him from the site permanently.

Other social media sites, including Facebook and TikTok have also scaled back on content review, which is why we need to be skeptical of anything that appears on social media.

To quote Abraham Lincoln, “don’t believe everything that you read on the internet”.

The overwhelming source of information for the high school kids I teach is TikTok, but a fair number also use Facebook as well, even though a few of them think that Facebook is “for old people”.

The biggest Facebook audience is the age group 18-24, and the smallest is 13 to 17 and 65+.

https://datareportal.com/essential-facebook-stats#:~:text=489.0%20million%20users%20aged%2018,of%20Facebook's%20total%20ad%20audience

 

Advertisers are fleeing Twitter in droves, and the article below indicates that Twitter may not even survive, given the extent of the massive layoffs recently instated by Muck.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/18/technology/elon-musk-twitter-workers-quit.html?action=click&module=Well&pgtype=Homepage&section=Technology

Elon Muck is the world’s richest man. Even if his $44 billon investment plummets in value, he’ll still be the world’s richest man.

Where freedom of speech becomes murky is when it concerns books.

I wrote earlier this year why book bans are a very bad idea, but the legislators in Idaho did not lister to me.

https://tohell-andback.blogspot.com/2022/01/should-books-be-banned.html

 

In March, legislation with the potential to fine Idaho librarians $1,000 and send them to jail for a year for checking out material to a minor that could harm them cleared the House.

The House voted 51-14 to approve the measure that backers said will protect children. But opponents said it is so undefined and subjective as to be unconstitutional. Over the past year, book challenges and bans have reached levels not seen in decades, according to officials at the American Library Association, the National Coalition Against Censorship (NCAC) and other advocates for free expression.

And according to PEN America, which has been tracking legislation around the country, dozens of bills have been proposed that restrict classroom reading and discussion. Virtually all of the laws focus on sexuality, gender identity or race.

The Idaho measure now goes to the Senate.

 

https://www.eastidahonews.com/2022/03/idaho-house-oks-measure-that-could-fine-jail-librarians/

Although it’s true that truth is not always what it seems, the recent midterm elections in Arizona are proof that truth still matters, since ALL of the candidates who believed in “The Big Lie” that the 220 elections was stolen went down in flames.

Regardless of how you feel about this topic, here’s my advice:

Don’t discuss it at your Thanksgiving dinner this year, since the day should be a day of thanks, rather than a day of political disagreements.

 

 


 

 


Thursday, November 17, 2022

what I learned in school today

 

 

I monitored a World History class today - and I learned a lot. 

Today's assignment was to watch a film titled "Even the Rain", which was released in 2012. It is worth watching, and you can buy it on Amazon if you click on the link below:      

          https://www.amazon.com/Even-Rain-Gael-Garcia-Bernal/dp/B008S2NABI/ref=sr_1_2?crid=2G7NYWZMCTUIK&keywords=even+the+rain&qid=1668711878&s=movies-tv&

                                                                                                                                                                             

 The story line is that a film company traveled to Brazil to shoot a movie that discussed Christopher Columbus's early days in the new world. Unfortunately for the film company, they landed in the country (Bolivia) at the very start of the Water Wars in Bolivia, which actually occurred in late 1999 and early 2000.

 Here's a synopsis of that war:

 The Cochabamba Water War was a series of protests that took place in CochabambaBolivia's fourth largest city, between December 1999 and April 2000 in response to the privatization of the city's municipal water supply company SEMAPA. The wave of demonstrations and police violence was described as a public uprising against water prices.

The tensions erupted when a new firm, Aguas del Tunari – a joint venture involving Bechtel – was required to invest in construction of a long-envisioned dam (a priority of Mayor Manfred Reyes Villa), so they had drastically raised water rates. Protests, largely organized through the Coordinadora (Coalition in Defense of Water and Life), a community coalition, erupted in January, February, and April 2000, culminating in tens of thousands marching downtown and battling police. One civilian was killed. On 10 April 2000, the national government reached an agreement with the Coordinadora to reverse the privatization. A complaint filed by foreign investors was resolved by agreement in February 2001.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cochabamba_Water_War#:~:text=The%20Cochabamba%20Water%20War%20was,municipal%20water%20supply%20company%20SEMAPA.

 San Francisco - based Bechtel Construction was a partner in  Aguas del Tunari.

 Due to strong local resistance, Aguas del Tunan was forced to shut down their operations and leave the country. 

Exploitation of local resources by foreign companies is happening all over the world. In my native state of Minnesota, the groundwater near the Boundary Waters canoe area us being threatened by a foreign mining company.  

https://www.friends-bwca.org/sulfide-mining/twin-metals-mining/ 

Antofagasta, the Chilean-conglomerate that owns Twin Metals, has proposed a mine that would tunnel under Birch Lake and the Kawishawi River. These bodies of water drain directly into the Boundary Waters.

The processing facility, where they would pulverize the ore to extract trace amounts of copper and other metals, and the mountains of reactive waste rock they would produce each day, would all be done at the edge of the BWCA.

Recently, the U.S. Forest Service released an environmental study that proposed a 20-year copper mining moratorium on federal land near the Boundary Waters Canoe Area. It is the latest step in a bid by the Biden administration to place a long-term pause on proposed copper-nickel mines across a large swath of northeastern Minnesota. 

 The 20-year “mineral withdrawal,” as it’s formally known, was first proposed in the waning days of the Obama administration. But the proposed moratorium was canceled under the Trump administration, and the unfinished environmental study was never released, despite calls from Congressional and state leaders. 

Then, in October, the Biden administration again proposed to ban new copper mining in the region for 20 years, arguing it was needed to protect the Boundary Waters “from adverse environmental impacts” from mining.

 that  https://www.mprnews.org/story/2022/06/23/feds-release-longawaited-study-on-proposed-mining-ban-near-boundary-waters

Theft of water by a foreign corporation is also happening in Arizona. This time, the guilty party is based in Saudi Arabia.

 https://arizonastatelawjournal.org/2022/10/28/arizonas-water-supply-is-being-depleted-by-a-foreign-company-despite-constitutional-safeguards/sprefix=even+the+rai%2Cmovies-tv%2C115&sr=1-2 

Arizona is in the midst of a water crisis. Drought and overuse have parched the Colorado River and its attached reservoirs. As a result, Arizona must endure new water cuts this upcoming year. And while state legislators contemplate expensive solutions like desalination technology, the State Land Department has allowed a private company to use up precious groundwater in Butler Valley. Not only is the company using massive amounts of water, which is bad enough, they are paying the State a fraction of the water’s value in what has been called a “Sweetheart” deal. The company, based in Saudi Arabia, goes by the name Fondomonte. Their business in Arizona—cultivate the water-intensive crop alfalfa. The alfalfa is then shipped back to the Middle East and used to feed livestock. Meanwhile, the local water crisis pervades.

 


The lesson from the movie, as well as the latest progress on the Boundary Waters, is proof that even “the little guy” can win battles against giant corporations. To date, there has not been strong opposition to what the Saudi Arabian company has been doing to the aquifer in Arizona – but that could change if enough citizens, and a Democratic governor, take strong enough action to save a precious asset that none of us can afford to lose.

                                                                                                                                  

 Fortunately, Democratic attorney general Kris Mayes is already calling for an investigation into the lease held by the Saudi company, which potentially could lead to a cancellation of the lease>


https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2022/08/30/candidates-arizona-ag-governor-call-saudi-leases-canceled/7935331001/


Sunday, November 13, 2022

that' why they pay you the big bucks

 

On the evening of November 12, we joined Brian, Kim, and the 2 grandkids at an employee (and family) function at the GEICO office where Kim works.

In addition to an amazing Mexican catered dinner, there were numerous electronic games, the largest fun house I have seen in my life, and a free movie for the kids








What I learned last night is that GEICO is owned by Berkshire Hathaway, the investment firm owned by Warren Buffett. Unlike venture capitalists like Carl Icahn, Buffett is far more interested in investing in great companies, and holding on to them for a long time. As a result, Berkshire Hathaway has a market capitalization of $730 billion.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GEICO 

GEICO was founded in 1936 by Leo Goodwin Sr. and his wife Lillian Goodwin to provide auto insurance directly to federal government employees and their families. Since 1925, Goodwin had worked for USAA, an insurer that specialized in insuring only military personnel. He decided to start his own company after rising as far as a civilian could go in USAA's military-dominated hierarchy. The Goodwins funded the creation of GEICO with $25,000 of their own money and $75,000 from Fort Worth, Texas-based banker Cleaves Rhea, with legal assistance from future GEICO CEO Lorimer Davidson. Based on Goodwin's experience at USAA, GEICO's original business model was predicated on the assumption that federal employees, as a group, would constitute a less risky and more financially stable pool of insureds compared to the general public.

In 1996, after many years as a publicly traded firm, GEICO became a wholly owned subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway.

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.is an American multinational conglomerate holding company headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, United States. The company wholly owns GEICODuracellDairy QueenBNSF RailwayLubrizolFruit of the LoomHelzberg DiamondsLong & FosterFlightSafety InternationalShaw IndustriesPampered ChefForest River, and NetJets, and also owns 38.6% of Pilot Flying J and significant minority holdings in public companies Kraft Heinz Company , American Express (18.8%), Bank of America (11.9%), The Coca-Cola Company (9.32%), and Apple (5.57%).

From 2016, the company acquired large holdings in the major US airlines United AirlinesDelta Air LinesSouthwest Airlines, and American Airlines, but these were sold early in 2020 in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. Berkshire Hathaway has averaged an annual growth in book value of 19.0% to its shareholders since 1965 (compared to 9.7% from the S&P 500 with dividends included for the same period), while employing large amounts of capital, and minimal debt.

 

According to the Forbes Global 2000 list and formula, Berkshire Hathaway is the largest public company in the world. As of August 2020, Berkshire's Class B stock is the seventh-largest component of the S&P 500 Index (which is based on free-float market capitalization) and the company is famous for having the most expensive share price in history with Class A shares costing around $500,000 each. This is because there has never been a stock split in its Class A shares and Buffett stated in a 1984 letter to shareholders that he does not intend to split the stock. On 16 March 2022, Berkshire Hathaway Class A shares closed above record $500,000 a share, resulting in company's market cap above $730 billion.

 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berkshire_Hathaway

 GEICO, and (by extension) Berkshire Hathaway are examples of companies that prospered because they treat their employees well.

Walmart is the largest employer in the United States, but the company is not noted for being overly generous to their employers. In contrast, Costco (with fewer employees) is much more profitable than Walmart, in spite of the fact that their employee benefits that are far more generous.

 Walmart was one of the top four employers of SNAP and Medicaid beneficiaries in every state. McDonald’s was in the top five of employers with employees receiving federal benefits in at least nine states.

https://www.sanders.senate.gov/in-the-news/walmart-and-mcdonalds-have-the-most-workers-on-food-stamps-and-medicaid-new-study-shows/

Meanwhile, the net worth of the Walton family is $250 billion.

https://www.affiliatebay.net/walton-family-net-worth/

  • Walmart has posted four straight years of declining profits.
  • Costco posted over triple the revenue growth of Walmart for 2018 and saw its stock gain 42 percent in the last 12 months compared to 10.9 percent for Walmart.
  • Costco’s profit margins of 2.21 percent are better than double Walmart’s 1.02 percent.
  • The return on equity of 26.29 percent would indicate management is leveraging assets efficiently.

 

https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/stocks/walmart-vs-costco-which-retailer-stock-invest/#:~:text=Walmart%20has%20posted%20four%20straight%20years%20of%20declining,percent%20are%20better%20than%20double%20Walmart%E2%80%99s%201.02%20percent.

Costco employees have much better benefits than Walmart employees. Here are some examples:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/11-costco-employee-benefits-want-234600618.html?fr=yhssrp_catchall

Free memberships to the store

Yes, that is plural. Costco has plenty of savings, but first customers must pay to become a member. Membership itself starts at $60 per year. While that's not extravagant when stretched out over 365 days, it's still an upfront cost before a single item is purchased.

Although Costco employees don't get discounts on items in each store, all employees do get four free memberships, one for themselves and three for people of their choosing. Each membership is good for a year.

Variety of health benefits

Employees who have worked for 180 consecutive days at the company for more than 23 hours a week, according to Glassdoor, qualify for Costco's health benefits plan. And it's a solid one.

Health insurance is affordable and includes dental and vision (and remember, there are optometrists in Costco stores) and co-pays are low. Employees may also use the company's pharmacies for any prescriptions that need to be filled.

Seasonal work options

Although many of the perks go to full-time employees, Costco also needs seasonal employees each year. The holidays demand more people on the floor and in the warehouse as demand picks up. That's good news for anyone trying to find short-term work. The seasonal hiring period generally starts in October and ends in January, with new employees on a 90-day probationary period.

Extra pay on Sundays

Base pay at Costco is good, but there are weekly chances for employees to make more. Costco operates on a time-and-a-half pay structure on Sundays. That means each hour an employee works they earn 50% more. No matter how many hours an employee works during the week, they earn more per hour when working on a Sunday, so any employees you see there on one of the busiest days of the week are earning extra.

Turkey time

Beyond year-round benefits like health insurance, Costco also offers employees part of a holiday meal. Business Insider reported in 2019 that all employees get a free turkey in the holiday season, available from “mid-November through Christmas,” according to an employee. That starts the holiday shopping season off right. Employees not in need of a turkey can also donate theirs to charities.

Bonuses, bonuses

Speaking of additional benefits, there are bonuses available for employees paid both annually and every six months. Reports on Indeed.com mention bonuses of $2,000 or more semi-annually, depending on how long an employee has been with the company. The annual bonuses may be even higher, again depending on experience and department.

Retirement options

Costco matches 50% of an employee's annual 401(k) contributions up to $500 per year. If you're working there, that could be as much as $1,500 added to your 401(k) plan each year. And for employees with 10 or more years of service, health insurance is included in retirement benefits, according to Glassdoor.

Promotion chances

While many positions at Costco are entry level, employees aren't limited to that role. Staff have several options to advance in their various departments. Reports on Indeed and Glassdoor mention an employee mentorship program and opportunities to train and learn new roles higher up in the company.

While some departments require specialized education or certification for certain roles, such as the optical and pharmacy sections, not every department does. How long it takes to advance varies by position and other factors, but employees can move up the ranks. The company itself notes that 70% of its warehouse managers started out as hourly employees.

Time off

The company offers several time-off policies for staff. Staff at Costco are eligible for paid time off, paid sick leave, and vacation hours as well. It requires working 90 days before you can start accruing paid time off. Vacation hours, to a certain extent, can roll over to the next calendar year.

For new mothers, there are six weeks of paid maternity leave as well. The company also pays employees for the time they serve on a jury.

Holidays

Beyond the company's paid time off and vacation policies for employees, Costco guarantees its staff seven paid holidays off, including the big ones of Thanksgiving, Christmas, Memorial Day, and Labor Day. There's also a floating paid holiday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day that can be taken before or after the day itself.

Bottom line

Costco offers plenty of immediate and long-term benefits to its employees. Anyone considering applying for a job at Costco should take into consideration all that the store offers, even if it's just for a seasonal job around the holidays. Looking to see what positions are hiring? The company's careers page is regularly updated with new roles.

Regardless of where you look for work, job hunters should keep some common red flags about new jobs in mind as they talk to a potential employer. But taking into consideration salary, benefits, and company culture can help you find the best jobs for your situation.

I’ve heard Kim talk with customers on the phone, and she is very good at what she does – and she loves working at GEICO.

The unemployment rate in the United States averaged 5.74 percent from 1948 until 2022, reaching an all-time high of 14.7 percent in April of 2020, and a record low of 2.5% in May of 1953.

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/unemployment-rate

 1953 was the peak year for union membership in the United States, and the 1956 Republican National platform strongly supported union membership.


https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/republican-party-platform-1956

Ironically, the lowest unemployment percentage happened when a Republican (Eisenhower) was president, and it was the highest when ANOTHER Republican (Trump) was president.

Unions are once again gaining in prominence because companies have recognized that they need to offer good wages and benefits in order to attract employees.

In 1953, over 30% of the jobs in America were union jobs, and my dad (as a postal worker) had one of those jobs. Today, the union membership is 10.8%, a slight increase from 2019. Within the public sector, the local government sector, which includes police officers, firefighters, teachers, etc., had the highest union membership rate of 41.7%. The union membership rate in the private sector increased by 0.1% to reach 6.3% in 2020. This was a result of the drop in the overall employment rate

https://callhub.io/union-membership-trends/

In case you are wondering, our insurance company for our car and our renter’s insurance is GEICO, in part because I like their ads.

In closing, the message that was brought home last night applies to business, as well as to life.

If you treat people right, you’ll do very well.

 

 

 

 

 


Saturday, November 12, 2022

day of the dead

 

Dia de los Muertos (the day of the dead) is celebrated on November 2, right after Halloween.

Día de los Muertos originated in ancient Mesoamerica (Mexico and northern Central America) where indigenous groups, including Aztec, Maya and Toltec, had specific times when they commemorated their loved ones who had passed away. Certain months were dedicated to remembering the departed, based on whether the deceased was an adult or a child.

After the arrival of the Spanish, this ritual of commemorating the dead was intertwined with two Spanish holidays: All Saints Day (Nov. 1) and All Soul’s Day (Nov. 2). Día de los Muertos is often celebrated on Nov. 1 as a day to remember children who have passed away, and on Nov. 2 to honor adults.

Today, Día de los Muertos is celebrated mostly in Mexico and some parts of Central and South America. Recently it has become increasingly popular among Latino communities abroad, including in the United States.

The holiday is actually a celebration of life, not death. Ancient Mesoamericans believed that death was part of the journey of life. Rather than death ending life, they believed that new life came from death. This cycle is often associated with the cyclical nature of agriculture, whereby crops grow from the ground where the last crop lies buried.

A big part of the day is the ofrenda, which is a temporary altar on which family members leave objects related to the departed to serve as a reminder of their lives.




https://www.si.edu/stories/5-facts-about-dia-de-los-muertos-day-dead

When I lived in Evanston, I attended an ofrenda at a local church, and my contribution was 50 cents and a bag of oranges.

The link below will explain why:

https://tohell-andback.blogspot.com/2010/10/50-cents-and-bag-of-oranges.html

A holiday similar to Dia de los Muertos is celebrated in China every year. It’s called Qingming, or Tomb Sweeping Day, and it is celebrated on        the 15th day after the spring equinox – and it is a national holiday.

During Qingming, Chinese families visit the tombs of their ancestors to clean the gravesites, pray to their ancestors and make ritual offerings. Offerings would typically include traditional food dishes and the burning of joss sticks and joss paper. The holiday recognizes the traditional reverence of one's ancestors in Chinese culture.

Because it is a national holiday, government offices are closed. As a result, I got stranded in Hong Kong for 4 days in 2004, when I traveled there to renew my temporary visa.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qingming_Festival

All of us have felt, at some point in time, that it would be nice to have another conversation with one of our departed family members.

A year or so after our dad passed, our mom drove to Ft. Snelling cemetery to talk with him about replacing his aging 1978 Oldsmobile Cutlass. Although she also enlisted the help of the brother Bernard, the “conversation” with dad resulted in the purchase of a Plymouth Horizon.




After mom passed, my sister inherited the car, and it was driven for a few years by her husband Michael, who called the car “grandma”.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chrysler_K_platform

When our parents were still alive, my sister Mary interviewed both of them, and recorded their thoughts on a cassette tape. Over time, the tapes disappeared, but before then, it WAS fun to listed to the folks again after they were gone.

If you have read Dan Brown’s book, “Origin” you may be familiar with the concept of artificial intelligence. You also may be aware of the fact that artificial intelligence, in recent years, has been able to create art.

https://www.cbsnews.com/pictures/art-created-by-artificial-intelligence/2/

This morning’s Washington Post had a story about an even more remarkable use for artificial intelligence.

Connecting grieving loved one with the deceased.

 https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2022/11/12/artificial-intelligence-grief/

In 2020, a Korean documentary team invited on its show a mother who had lost her 7-year-old daughter to an incurable disease. The girl’s death was so sudden — she died a week after being diagnosed in 2016 — the mother, Jang Ji-Sun, did not have a chance to say goodbye. For three years she was obsessed with the loss of her daughter.

 

The producers of the documentary, “Meeting You,” created a digitized re-creation of the child that the mother could see through a virtual reality headset (the TV audience was also able to see the image of the daughter).

 

On the show, the virtual girl, Na-yeon, appeared from behind a woodpile and runs toward her mother, calling, “Mom.” The mother burst into tears and said, “Mom missed you so much, Na-yeon.” A video of the show reportedly received 19 million views. While the experience was painful, the mother told the Korean Times that she would do it again if she could; she finally got a chance to say goodbye.

 

People have always craved post-death contact with their loved ones. Efforts to remain in touch with the dead have existed for eons, such as photographing deceased children, holding seances and even keeping a corpse in the house for posterity. But artificial intelligence and virtual reality, along with other technological advances, have taken us a huge step closer to bringing the dead back to life.

 In June, Amazon unveiled a new feature it’s developing for Alexa, in which the virtual assistant can read aloud stories in a deceased loved one’s voice after just hearing a minute of that person’s speech. (Amazon founder Jeff Bezos owns The Washington Post.) “While AI can’t eliminate that pain of loss, it can definitely make their memories last,” said Rohit Prasad, senior vice president and head scientist for Amazon Alexa.

And several entrepreneurs in the AI sphere, including James Vlahos of HereAfter AI and Eugenia Kuyda, who co-founded AI start-ups Luka and Replika, have turned their efforts toward virtual representations of people, using data from their digital footprint to craft an avatar or chatbot that can interact with family members after they’ve passed.

 

Many of us baby boomers are still leery of modern technology, which is why I am not upgrading to Windows 11 until I can’t avoid it any longer. The fact remains, though, is that technology can due remarkable things – including bringing dead people back to life.