Saturday, August 3, 2024

here comes the judge

 





President Biden recently proposed reforms to restore trust and accountability to the Supreme Court:

From his first day in office—and every day since then—President Biden has taken action to strengthen American democracy and protect the rule of law.

In recent years, the Supreme Court has overturned long-established legal precedents protecting fundamental rights. This Court has gutted civil rights protections, taken away a woman’s right to choose, and now granted Presidents broad immunity from prosecution for crimes they commit in office.

At the same time, recent ethics scandals involving some Justices have caused the public to question the fairness and independence that are essential for the Court to faithfully carry out its mission to deliver justice for all Americans.

President Biden believes that no one—neither the President nor the Supreme Court—is above the law.

In the face of this crisis of confidence in America’s democratic institutions, President Biden is calling for three bold reforms to restore trust and accountability:

  1. No Immunity for Crimes a Former President Committed in Office: President Biden shares the Founders’ belief that the President’s power is limited—not absolute—and must ultimately reside with the people. He is calling for a constitutional amendment that makes clear no President is above the law or immune from prosecution for crimes committed while in office. This No One Is Above the Law Amendment will state that the Constitution does not confer any immunity from federal criminal indictment, trial, conviction, or sentencing by virtue of previously serving as President.
  1. Term Limits for Supreme Court Justices: Congress approved term limits for the Presidency over 75 years ago, and President Biden believes they should do the same for the Supreme Court. The United States is the only major constitutional democracy that gives lifetime seats to its high court Justices. Term limits would help ensure that the Court’s membership changes with some regularity; make timing for Court nominations more predictable and less arbitrary; and reduce the chance that any single Presidency imposes undue influence for generations to come. President Biden supports a system in which the President would appoint a Justice every two years to spend eighteen years in active service on the Supreme Court.
  1. Binding Code of Conduct for the Supreme Court: President Biden believes that Congress should pass binding, enforceable conduct and ethics rules that require Justices to disclose gifts, refrain from public political activity, and recuse themselves from cases in which they or their spouses have financial or other conflicts of interest. Supreme Court Justices should not be exempt from the enforceable code of conduct that applies to every other federal judge.

President Biden and Vice President Harris look forward to working with Congress and empowering the American people to prevent the abuse of Presidential power, restore faith in the Supreme Court, and strengthen the guardrails of democracy. President Biden thanks the Presidential Commission on the Supreme Court of the United States for its insightful analysis of Supreme Court reform proposals. The Administration will continue its work to ensure that no one is above the law – and in America, the people rule.

 https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/07/29/fact-sheet-president-biden-announces-bold-plan-to-reform-the-supreme-court-and-ensure-no-president-is-above-the-law/

 There are solid reasons for these reforms:

1)    The Supreme Court’s decision to grand Donald Trump limited immunity for at least come presidential acts violates a principal that dates back to 1789, when the Constitution was first ratified

2)   Samuel Alito was born on 4/1/1950, and has been on the Supreme Court since 1/31/2006 (18 years ago), Clarence Thomas was born on 6/23/1948, and has been on the Supreme Court since 10/23/1991, 33 years ago. John Robert was born on 1/25/1955, and has been the chief justice since 9/23/2005, 15 years ago.

3)   All members of Congress are bound by a code of ethics, which was established by a bi-partisan agreement in 2008.

The Office of Congressional Ethics (OCE) is an independent, non-partisan entity charged with reviewing allegations of misconduct against Members, officers, and staff of the United States House of Representatives and, when appropriate, referring matters to the House Committee on Ethics. In all but one set of circumstances, the report and findings of the OCE Board must be publicly released.

The OCE has a professional staff consisting primarily of attorneys and other professionals with expertise in ethics law and investigations. The mission of the OCE and its Board is to assist the House in upholding high standards of ethical conduct for its Members, officers, and staff and, in so doing, to serve the American people. Governed by an eight-person Board of Directors, Members of the OCE Board are private citizens and cannot serve as members of Congress or work for the federal government.

Established March 11, 2008, by House Resolution 895, the Office of Congressional Ethics (OCE) is the first ever independent body overseeing the ethics of the House of Representatives. The OCE was formed after members of a congressional task force proposed an independent entity in the U.S. House to increase accountability and transparency. The OCE's mission is to assist the U.S. House in upholding high ethical standards with an eye toward increasing transparency and providing information to the public.

The OCE reviews allegations of misconduct against House Members, officers, and staff and, when appropriate, refers investigations to the House Ethics Committee for further review. While our two-stage investigative process is confidential, in almost all circumstances, OCE cases sent to the Ethics Committee must become public.

Since the OCE was created, its authorizing resolution has been renewed each Congress. The OCE has reviewed a wide variety of allegations relating to earmarks, travel, financial disclosure, and legal expense funds among other topics.

The OCE publishes a summary of the Board's actions on a quarterly basis. The reports and findings of the Board are made public according to the OCE's authorizing resolution. These referrals are available at the reports page. The OCE's investigations are done in two phases. Our Citizen's Guide shows how the OCE fits into the structure of government ethics enforcement. Visit our FAQs for more details on how the OCE operates.

 https://oce.house.gov/about

 

Since 1973, judges on the lower federal courts—that is, federal courts other than the Supreme Court— have been subject to a set of ethical canons now known as the Code of Conduct for United States Judges (Judges’ Code of Conduct). The Judicial Conference of the United States (Judicial Conference), the national policymaking body for the U.S. courts, adopted the Judges’ Code of Conduct to promote public confidence in the integrity, independence, and impartiality of the federal judiciary.

On November 13, 2023, the Supreme Court issued the Justices’ Code of Conduct, which was adopted by the sitting Justices. According to a statement of the Court accompanying the Justices’ Code of Conduct, the Code is intended to “set out succinctly and gather in one place the ethics rules and principles that guide the conduct of the Members of the Court,” and, for the most part, the “rules and principles are not new.” The new code contains five ethical canons: 1. A Justice Should Uphold the Integrity and Independence of the Judiciary. 2. A Justice Should Avoid Impropriety and the Appearance of Impropriety in All Activities. 3. A Justice Should Perform the Duties of Office Fairly, Impartially, and Diligently. 4. A Justice May Engage in Extrajudicial Activities that Are Consistent with the Obligations of the Judicial Office. 5. A Justice Should Refrain from Political Activity

Because the Supreme Court possesses the authority to determine the constitutionality of legislative actions, the Supreme Court itself would likely play a critical role in determining whether Congress could validly impose or enforce ethics rules on the Court. There is limited legal precedent on this issue because Congress and the Supreme Court have historically taken an approach focused on interbranch comity, declining to test the full extent of their powers in order to avoid conflict between the legislative and judicial branches. Thus, Congress has at times deferred to the Court to set court rules and procedures, and the Court has at times acquiesced to ethics legislation without formally addressing its constitutionality. It is therefore difficult to predict whether or how the Court might address the constitutionality of possible Supreme Court ethics legislation.

https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/LSB/LSB11078#:~:text=Since%201973%2C%20judges%20on%20the%20lower%20federal%20courts%E2%80%94that,for%20United%20States%20Judges%20%28Judges%E2%80%99%20Code%20of%20Conduct%29.

The worst offender of the ethics codes is Clarence Thomas. In addition to the fact that his wife Ginni was involved in  attempts to overturn the 2020 election, Clarence Thomas has accepted more than $4,000,000 from wealthy benefacts, and he also provided guidance to judge Cannon’s decision of toss out the document case.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ginni_Thomas

More recently, he has come out in favor of overturning the Lawrence v. Texas case of 2003, which eliminated penalties for sodomy.

https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/sodomy-arrest-sparks-controversy

Public approval of the Supreme Court has been declining, in large part to a man names Leonard Leo.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/354908/approval-supreme-court-down-new-low.aspx

In 2001, approval of the Supreme Court peaked at 62%. Today, it is 40%, the lowest total in more than 20 years.

Leonard Anthony Leo (born November 1965) is an American lawyer and conservative legal activist. He was the longtime vice president of the Federalist Society and is currently, along with Steven Calabresi, the co-chairman of the organization's board of directors.

Leo has created a network of influential conservative legal groups funded mostly by anonymous donors, including The 85 Fund and Concord Fund, which serve as funding hubs for affiliated political nonprofits. He assisted Clarence Thomas in his Supreme Court confirmation hearings and led campaigns to support the nominations of John RobertsSamuel AlitoNeil GorsuchBrett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.

 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leonard_Leo

 Since the reforms proposed by Joe Biden would require legislative approval, they would not likely get passed even if Kamala Harris got elected and eh Democrats eked out a narrow majority in both housed of Congress.

However, there is a simple solution to the problem with the Supreme Court:

Bribery.

Anthony McLeod Kennedy (born July 23, 1936) is an American attorney and jurist who served as an associate justice of the Supreme Court of the United States from 1988 until his retirement in 2018. He was nominated to the court in 1987 by President Ronald Reagan, and sworn in on February 18, 1988. After the retirement of Sandra Day O'Connor in 2006, he was considered the swing vote on many of the Roberts Court's 5–4 decisions.

 Kennedy authored the majority opinion in several important cases—including Boumediene v. BushCitizens United v. FEC, and four major gay rights cases: Romer v. EvansLawrence v. TexasUnited States v. Windsor, and Obergefell v. Hodges. He also co-authored the controlling opinion in Planned Parenthood v. Casey along with Justices Sandra Day O’Connor and David Souter.

All told, justice Kennedy was on the Supreme Court for 30 years, but was 8 years old when he retired.

Kennedy obviously was in his rights to retire, but here is an interesting fact:

Justin Kennedy worked for Goldman Sachs, and then for Deutsche Bank from 1997 to 2009; he became its global head of real estate capital markets. During his time at Deutsche Bank he helped Donald Trump secure a $640 million loan for a Chicago real estate project

 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthony_Kennedy

Since Trump has always been a transactional individual, it is not much of a stretch to imagine that Trump paid Justice Kennedy to retire when he did.

 In my opinion, the court would be a more honest institution if Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas both decided to retire. It’s above my pay grade to determine what incentives would be necessary to encourage that to happen – but it is certainly worth exploring.

 


 



Sunday, July 28, 2024

the 2024 election

 In 2016, every major newspaper in the country said that Donald Trump was not fit for office. With a lot of help from Russia, WikiLeaks, and James Comey, Trump garnered 306 electoral votes to Hillary’s 232 electoral votes, despite the fact that he lost the popular vote by nearly 3,000,000 votes.

Ironically, the electoral college vote in 2020 was identical – except the 306 electoral votes went to Joe Biden instead of Donald Trump. In 2020, he lost the popular vote by 7,000,000 votes.

In 2020, only SIX major newspapers endorsed Trump for re-election.

In 2024, the New York Times was the first newspaper that proclaimed that Donald Trump is not fit for office,  and other papers inevitably will come to the same conclusion.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/07/11/opinion/editorials/donald-trump-2024-unfit.html

I am not as smart at Nate Silver, but I predict that Donald Trump and J.D. Vance will lose in November.

In no particular order, here are the reasons for my prediction:

1)    158 presidential historians have rated Trump as the worst president in our nation’s history.

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/historians-voted-trump-worst-president-ever/

2)   J.D. Vance is the worst vice presential pick since Sarah Palin in 2008. Among other things, he wants a national abortion ban (with no exception for rape or incest), he has less than two years history as an elected official, he feels that people with children should have more votes than people that don’t have children, he does not like childless cat women (which will not be received well by Taylor Swift fans), and he claims to have had sex with a couch.

https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/07/27/metro/trumps-running-mate-thinks-even-less-women-than-he-does/?p1=HP_Feed_Recommended

 

3)   Project 25 and Agenda 47. I have written about both of them in recent weeks, but both of them would have the effect of literally ending our democracy. Although you can order that 900+ page book about Project 2025 on Amazon, you can save yourself a lot of time by watching Joy Reid’s analysis on MSNBC the week of July 29.

4)   According to a poll by conducted by the New York Times and Siena College in April, and early May, immigration was tied with abortion rights as the second-most important issue to voters, behind the economy and inflation. According to the Pew Research Center, 63% of American voters feel that abortion should be legal in most of all cases.

 

https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/fact-sheet/public-opinion-on-abortion/

5)   Congressional leaders spent 4 months earlier this year spent 4 months developing a bi-partisan agreement on immigration, but Trump demanded that his parry should vote against it  because it would help Joe Biden. Due to recent execute actions by Biden, the number of migrants illegally crossing the U.S.-Mexico border has plummeted 40 percent since President Joe Biden clamped down on asylum earlier this month, administration officials said Wednesday.

 

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/06/26/border-crossings-drop-biden-policy-00165055

Daily crossings have fallen below 2,400. That’s the lowest level since Jan. 17, 2021, right before the president took office. But encounters still remain too high for the president’s newly implemented restrictions to be lifted: Migrants will continue to be barred from seeking asylum in between ports of entry until average border crossings have fallen below 1,500 for seven consecutive days.

6)   Our economy continues to be the strongest in the world.

 

https://www.factcheck.org/2024/01/bidens-numbers-january-2024-update/

 

7)   Kamala Harris’s newly minted campaign for president announced Sunday morning that it had raised $200 million in less than a week, with two-thirds of that coming from new donors, as the vice president seeks to capitalize on what Democrats see as momentum following the sudden exit from the contest of President Biden. Harris campaign aides said they have recruited 170,000 new volunteers since last Sunday and are holding 2,300 events to mobilize grassroots supporters this week



https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/28/2024-election-campaign-updates-harris-trump/ 

8)   Young voter registration spiked to record numbers in the 48 hours since Harris become the nominee. The nonpartisan Vote.org website saw its highest level of new voter registrations of the 2024 election cycle in the first two days after Biden dropped out and endorsed vice president Kamala Harris, with 38,500 people signing up – a 700 percent spike, reported Politico Playbook. Vote.org, the largest get-out-the-vote technology platform in the nation, hopes to register 8 million voters before November's election and reports that 500,000 have already registered this cycle, including a record number of 18-year-old new voters.

Nearly 80 percent of Democratic voters favor the 59-year-old Harris taking over the party's nomination from the 81-year-old Biden, according to a new poll conducted by YouGov for CBS News, and found only 21 percent favored nominating someone else.

9)   Joe Biden is the only president in history to walk on a picket line. He was in Detroit at the same as Donald Trump – but Trump went to a non-union plant. Labor groups have largely united behind Kamala Harris, even though a few are still considering their options.

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/kamala-harris-labor-unions-support-presidential-election-2024-rcna163194

 

10) The next presidential debate is still scheduled for September 10, and will be broadcast on ABC.. After Vice President Kamala Harris accused former President Donald Trump of “backpedaling” on a debate, the Trump campaign said Thursday it would not commit to any future debates until the Democratic Party formally chooses a nominee.

President Joe Biden’s decision to step down from the Democratic ticket on Sunday threw previous debate plans into doubt. While the Biden and Trump campaigns had agreed to a debate hosted by ABC on September 10, it is unclear if it will go on as planned.

“I have agreed to the previously agreed upon September 10th debate, he agreed to that previously,” Harris told reporters after landing at Joint Base Andrews Thursday. “Now it appears he’s backpedaling. But I’m ready. And I think that the voters deserve to see the split screen that exists in this race on a debate stage and so, I’m ready. Let’s go.”

If all goes according to plan, the debate will pit a former prosecutor against a convicted felon, and will be a lot more fun to watch than the June 27 debate was.

 

9)   11) Some of the most crucial and largest groups among the Black voter base have cemented their support for Kamala Harris as the Democratic presidential nominee this week, mobilizing swiftly through virtual calls and social media to get behind what could be America’s first Black woman president.

On Wednesday, Harris addressed the historically Black Zeta Phi Beta sorority, making her case to thousands of Black women who share an almost 40-year connection with her.

"Our nation needs your leadership once again," Harris, who joined the historically Black Alpha Kappa Alpha sorority in 1986, said during her speech. "In this moment, we face a choice between two different visions for our nation. One focused on the future, and the other focused on the past. With your support, I am fighting for our nation's future."

12)  In the eight years since Hillary Clinton failed to win the American presidency, the work force for the first time grew to include more college-educated women than college-educated men. The #MeToo movement exposed sexual harassment and toppled powerful men. The Supreme Court overturned the federal right to abortion.

Will any — or all — of it make a difference for Vice President Kamala Harris?

A presidential contest pitting Ms. Harris against former President Donald J. Trump would represent a rematch of sorts: Mr. Trump would again have to run against a woman who held a top administration position and served in the Senate. He defeated Mrs. Clinton in 2016 in spite of her winning the popular vote by a wide margin.

But the dynamics would be unquestionably different. Ms. Harris has neither the political legacy nor the baggage of Mrs. Clinton. Mr. Trump, having served a turbulent term in office, is now a known quantity. Ms. Harris is Black and of South Asian descent. And the country is not the same as it was eight long years ago.

“Women are angrier, and that could be motivating,” said Karen Crowley, 64, an independent voter and retired nurse in Concord, N.H., who would not vote for Mr. Trump, did not feel like she could support Mr. Biden and now planned to back Ms. Harris.

Among the motivations Ms. Crowley cited were the demise of Roe v. Wade and comments and actions by Mr. Trump that many women see as sexist and misogynistic. “A woman president might be more possible now,” she said.

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/22/us/kamala-harris-women-voters.html

In July, Nate Silver said that Trump would beat Biden by 4 points.  Now that Biden has dropped out, Kamala Harris is virtually tied with Trump, but the Democratic convention in August will more than likely give her the edge. As a  result, my prediction is that Trump will lose  the popular vote for the third time, but will NOT get enough votes in the electoral college to win the election – and that is good news for all of us.




 

Tuesday, July 16, 2024

Agenda 47

 


 

Few of the attendees at the Republican convention in Milwaukee have any idea what Project 2025 is, but the link below provides more information:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_2025

The entire document is roughly 900 pages, but the paragraphs below provide at least a basic summary:

The 2025 Presidential Transition Project, also known as Project 2025, is an initiative organized by the Heritage Foundation with the aim of promoting a collection of conservative and right-wing policy proposals to reshape the United States federal government and consolidate executive power should Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election. The Project asserts that the entire executive branch is under the direct control of the president under Article II of the U.S. Constitution and unitary executive theory 

It proposes reclassifying tens of thousands of federal civil service workers as political appointees in order to replace them with loyalists more willing to enable Trump's policies. In doing so, proponents argue that the change would dismantle what they view as a vast, unaccountable, and mostly liberal government bureaucracy The Project seeks to infuse the government and society with Christian values Critics have characterized Project 2025 as an authoritarianChristian nationalist plan to steer the U.S. toward autocracy. Many legal experts have said it would undermine the rule of law, the separation of powersthe separation of church and state, and civil liberties.

Although Trump claims to know nothing about it, his name is mentioned over 100 times, and it was written by at least 140 people who worked in the Trump administration and  had a hand in Project 2025, including more than half of the people listed as authors, editors and contributors.

Although it was written by the Heritage Foundation, it meshes well with Agenda 47, which was produced by Trump’s campaign – and even fewer people have ever heard of it.

Many of its ideas are contained below:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2024/07/16/what-is-agenda47-heres-what-to-know-about-trumps-policy-agenda-if-elected/?utm_medium=browser_notifications&utm_source=pushly&utm_campaign=5066788

 

Former President Donald Trump clinched the GOP nomination on Monday—and a years-old platform dating back to the Republican primaries lays out a range of priorities if he’s elected, including stricter rules for schools, more hardline immigration policies, scrapping climate regulations and creating entirely new “freedom cities.”

 

Trump’s “Agenda47” consists of a series of proposals his campaign issued on its website during the primary election season, from December 2022 to December 2023, many of which may require congressional action but some of which could be enacted through executive orders—separate from the Project 2025 proposals developed by third-party organizations.

 

Education: Trump’s proposals for K-12 schools include having parents elect school principals, cutting federal funding to any school teaching “critical race theory,” ending teacher tenure, creating a new credentialing body to only certify teachers “who embrace patriotic values,” encouraging prayer in schools, making it easier to kick “out-of-control troublemakers” out of school, supporting school districts that allow teachers to carry concealed firearms and pushing “school choice” policies.

 

Universities: Trump has proposed getting rid of existing accreditors for colleges and universities and creating new ones who impose his party’s values on institutions, along with levying significant fines on colleges and universities that he believes “discriminate” against students—with a plan to use those fines to create a free online “American Academy” that “cover[s] the full spectrum of human knowledge and skills.”

 

Climate Change: The U.S. would again leave the Paris Climate Accord, and the ex-president has proposed getting rid of President Joe Biden’s policies restricting emissions and targeting 67% of new vehicles to be electric by 2032 and massively scaling up oil and gas production.

 

Justice Department: Trump has pledged to appoint 100 U.S. attorneys who would be aligned with his policies and investigate some left-leaning local district attorneys, also pledging to establish a DOJ task force on “protecting the right to self-defense” and fight purported anti-conservative bias at law schools and law firms.

 

Crime: Trump has vowed to invest in hiring and retaining police officers (and increase their protections from legal liability), push policies like “stop and frisk,” direct the DOJ “to dismantle every gang, street crew, and drug network in America,” deploy federal troops including the National Guard “to restore law and order” when local officers “refuse to act” and impose the death penalty for drug dealers, drug cartels and human traffickers.

 

Immigration: Trump plans to prohibit undocumented immigrants from receiving any benefits, end birthright citizenship for the children of undocumented immigrants, reinstitute a “travel ban” from certain countries, pause refugee admissions, mandate “extreme vetting of foreign nationals,” block federal grants to sanctuary cities, end the “catch-and-release” practice of releasing migrants while they await immigration hearings, close the southern border to asylum seekers and suspend visa programs including the visa lottery and family visas.

 

Economy: Trump proposes cutting taxes and slashing federal regulations, also proposing baseline tariffs on foreign goods in hopes of spurring American manufacturing, which will go up for countries who have “unfair trade practices.”

Healthcare: Trump has proposed requiring federal agencies to buy medicines and medical devices manufactured in the U.S. and barring federal agencies from other countries from purchasing “essential” drugs; he also has plans for an executive order saying the government will only pay pharmaceutical companies the “best price they offer to foreign nations.”

Foreign Policy and Defense: Trump wants European allies to pay back the U.S. for depleting its military stockpiles sending weapons to Ukraine; he has also taken a hardline stance on China, calling for new restrictions on Chinese-owned infrastructure in the U.S., and wants to build a missile defense shield.

Social Security: In a shift from some pre-Trump GOP politicians’ views, Trump has said there should be no cuts to Social Security or Medicare “under any circumstances.”

Homelessness: Trump plans to work with states to ban “public camping” by homeless people and instead give them the choice of receiving treatment or being arrested, and calls for creating large “tent cities” where homeless people would be relocated, which would have doctors and social workers on site, along with expanding mental institutions.

Transgender Rights: Trump takes a hard stance against transgender rights, calling for any healthcare provider providing gender-affirming care for youth to be terminated from Medicare and Medicaid, stripping federal funding from any school where an official or teacher suggests a child could be “trapped in the wrong body,” and encouraging Congress to pass legislation saying “the only genders recognized by the U.S. government are male and female—and they are

Big Tech: In line with conservatives’ claims that social media platforms are biased against them, Trump said he’ll pass an executive order barring any federal department from working with other entities to “censor” Americans and prohibit federal money being used to combat misinformation, also announcing steps like altering Section 230 to open up social media platforms to more legal liability.

Both Project 2025 and Agenda would have the effect of virtually ending the democracy that we have had for 248 years.

The media has spent far too much time in focusing on Joe Biden’s missteps, and not enough on the fact that Trump is a convicted felon, who is the worst president in our nation’s history.

The November election has become more precarious for a couple of reasons:

1)    The Democrats still cannot fully agree about who their nominee should be

 2)   Last weekend’s assassination attempt actually helped Trump politically, since it gave him the status of a “wounded warrior:

 


 Although what all of us can really do to save our democracy is to vote in November, it's also important to remind people about Project 2025 and Agenda 47, since educated voters are our best defense.